Freelance Geopolitical & Event Forecasting Experts at AI Startup

Lightly AG, a startup specializing in machine learning and computer vision, is seeking Freelance Geopolitical & Event Forecasting Experts. The company, backed by Y Combinator and top-tier investors, focuses on autonomous driving, medical imaging, and visual inspection. The role involves evaluating AI-generated predictions about real-world events. The main responsibilities include assessing the accuracy and quality of AI-generated event forecasts. These forecasts cover elections, central bank decisions, policy announcements, and technology/regulatory events. The evaluation is done using a provided rubric. Candidates must have at least 2-3 years of recent experience in political analysis, macroeconomics, geopolitical risk, or policy research. Familiarity with prediction markets or superforecasting methodologies is essential. Fluency in English is required, along with strong analytical and quantitative skills. Clear and precise communication is also crucial. What the role asks for: - At least 2-3 years of recent experience in political analysis, macroeconomics, geopolitical risk, or policy research - Experience producing or evaluating probabilistic forecasts - Familiarity with prediction markets (Polymarket, Metaculus) or superforecasting methodologies - Fluency in English - Strong analytical and quantitative skills - Clear and precise communication